Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (40.3%)
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026, 6:38 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 59.7%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 66 days ago
StaleMay 1, 25, 12:01 PMDec 31, 25, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes59.7%
No40.3%
59.7%
40.3%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
