Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast4:40:00 100%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 15, 26, 4:36 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:26 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
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PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- The world record time will be determined by the official Speedrun.com leaderboard for Hollow Knight: Silksong, the 100% speedrun category time (in minutes and seconds) as listed on the leaderboard, No Major Glitches.
- This market will consider the Load Removed Time to be the 'true' speedrun time.
- The market resolves YES for each option when a run is shown on that leaderboard with a time LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO.
- (A run of 4:38:50 resolves 4:40 as YES but does not resolve 4:35) At 11:59 PM EST Dec 31, 2026, each remaining entry resolves NO.
- A run that has been submitted but is not shown on the Speedrun.com leaderboard at 11:59 PM EST Dec 31, 2026 will not count.
Open markets
EsportsPOLYMARKETLoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)+77.5pt100%
- Game 1 Winner+43.5pt100%
- Game 2 Winner+42.0pt100%
+60 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6M
- 24h Vol
- $5.5M
POLYMARKETLoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
- Game 1 Winner+48.0pt100%
- Match Winner+46.5pt100%
- Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)+64.5pt100%
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- Match Winner+3.0pt71%
- 2 Winner-0.5pt67%
- 1 Winner-1.0pt64%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- 1 Winner+67.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+52.0pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- 1 Winner+45.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+49.5pt100%
- Match Winner+30.0pt95%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
- Game 2 Winner100%
- O/U 2.5 Games100%
- Ends in Daytime100%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $386.4K
- FURIA vs. GamerLegion
- Astralis vs. G2
- TYLOO vs. PARIVISION
- LoL: White Dragons vs Dominion Goblins (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs
- Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group C
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FUT Esports (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage
- Counter-Strike: Fortress vs ENCE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Silksong 100% Speedrun WR time end 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices 4:40:00 at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Silksong 100% Speedrun WR time end 2026 resolve?
- Silksong 100% Speedrun WR time end 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Silksong 100% Speedrun WR time end 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria