Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast4:40:00 100%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+12.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMar 15, 26, 4:36 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:26 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- The world record time will be determined by the official Speedrun.com leaderboard for Hollow Knight: Silksong, the 100% speedrun category time (in minutes and seconds) as listed on the leaderboard, No Major Glitches.
- This market will consider the Load Removed Time to be the 'true' speedrun time.
- The market resolves YES for each option when a run is shown on that leaderboard with a time LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO.
- (A run of 4:38:50 resolves 4:40 as YES but does not resolve 4:35) At 11:59 PM EST Dec 31, 2026, each remaining entry resolves NO.
- A run that has been submitted but is not shown on the Speedrun.com leaderboard at 11:59 PM EST Dec 31, 2026 will not count.
