Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 7:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 58.6%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleNov 20, 25, 4:48 PMNov 28, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes59%
Volume trend
$47Jul 212d of dataJul 22
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