Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (56%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 2:46 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets, Oct 30
Manifold MarketsIndiana Pacers at Miami Heat, Oct 30
Manifold MarketsGiannis Antetokounmpo stays on the Miami Heat for the entirety of the 2026-27 NBA season?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Miami Heat defeat the Detroit Pistons by a margin of 2 or more points (i.e., Heat score minus Pistons score $\ge 2$) in their NBA regular-season matchup scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026.
- This market resolves to NO if:
- The Miami Heat win by 1 point.
- The game ends in a tie.
- The Detroit Pistons win the game outright.