If US Real GDP reaches 130% of prior years by 2035, which of these stocks will have the highest total return?

EconomyCustomTech Equities Corporate Actions6y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jul 18, 2026, 2:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2

Current community forecast

NVIDIA (NVDA) 10.3%-0.4%

Leader of 14 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale

Nov 3, 24, 5:53 AMNov 10, 32, 7:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

NVIDIA (NVDA)10%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This question will resolve conditional on the following question resolving YES: Will any year's US Real GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?

Primary Condition: Will any year's US Real GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?
This question resolves to whichever listed stock had the highest total return
Measurement period: From December 1st, 2024 00:00 EST until 00:00 EST on January 1st following the year when GDP first exceeded 130% of previous years
"OTHER" resolves as winner if any S&P500 company (as of November 4th, 2024) not explicitly listed above has the highest return
Companies must remain publicly traded throughout the entire measurement period

Volume trend

$150

Jul 172d of dataJul 18

Macro-Sensitive Assets

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SolanaSOL$75.04+1.42%

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If US Real GDP reaches 130% of prior years by 2035, which of these stocks will have the highest total return?

EconomyCustomTech Equities Corporate Actions6y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jul 18, 2026, 2:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2

Current community forecast

NVIDIA (NVDA) 10.3%-0.4%

Leader of 14 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale

Nov 3, 24, 5:53 AMNov 10, 32, 7:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

NVIDIA (NVDA)10%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

This question will resolve conditional on the following question resolving YES: Will any year's US Real GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?

Primary Condition: Will any year's US Real GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?
This question resolves to whichever listed stock had the highest total return
Measurement period: From December 1st, 2024 00:00 EST until 00:00 EST on January 1st following the year when GDP first exceeded 130% of previous years
"OTHER" resolves as winner if any S&P500 company (as of November 4th, 2024) not explicitly listed above has the highest return
Companies must remain publicly traded throughout the entire measurement period

Volume trend

$150

Jul 172d of dataJul 18

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$64,508.27+0.77%

EthereumETH$1,882.74+1.30%

SolanaSOL$75.04+1.42%

Related Markets

Will SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?

$35.7

Yes: 28.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS