Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping — domestic opening weekend (Box Office Mojo)?
22.5 pts (24h)EntertainmentOne-Off19d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast$90M or more 39.2%+22.5ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+22.5 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 26, 10:50 AM UTCNov 20, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
What will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (Lionsgate, wide release Friday, November 20, 2026) earn in its domestic (US + Canada) 3-day opening weekend, Friday–Sunday Nov 20–22, 2026?
- Resolution source: the film's domestic opening weekend figure on Box Office Mojo (boxofficemojo.com), using the weekend ACTUALS (usually posted Monday Nov 23 or Tuesday Nov 24).
- Thursday previews count as part of Friday, as Box Office Mojo reports them.
- If Box Office Mojo has no figure by Nov 25, I'll use The Numbers (the-numbers.com) instead.
- I resolve on the actuals, not Sunday's studio estimate.
- If the actual lands exactly on a boundary (e.g. $55.0M), it goes to the higher bucket.