How will Manifold die?
Tech
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Ship-of-Theseus'd into a new website 17.9%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
85
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+7.7 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 5, 23, 7:19 PM UTCApr 21, 69, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
this market never resolves 😤
Open markets
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+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
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- 220-239+26.0pt32%
- 240-259-0.1pt1%
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KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
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+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $65,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $66,500 or above99%
- $67,000 or above99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 22, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $85,500 or above99%
- $85,400 or above99%
- $85,300 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $563.6K
- 24h Vol
- $526.1K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 200-219+7.0pt34%
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- 180-199-15.5pt19.8%
+23 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How will Manifold die??
- Manifold Markets prices Ship-of-Theseus'd into a new website at 17.9% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does How will Manifold die? resolve?
- How will Manifold die? is scheduled to resolve on April 21, 3069.
- How is How will Manifold die? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: this market never resolves 😤