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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Global Average Temperature June 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Manifold Markets

Global Average Temperature June 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)

DailySpaceWeather28d
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
June 2026 less than 1.095C 5.2%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters

8

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jun 1, 26, 5:19 PMJul 9, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

June 2026 less than 1.095C5%

Rules

Data is currently at https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.csv

Manifold Markets
  • https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
  • (or such updated location for this Gistemp v4 LOTI data)
  • January 2024 might show as 124 in hundredths of a degree C, this is +1.24C above the 1951-1980 base period.
  • If it shows as 1.22 then it is in degrees i.e. 1.22C.
  • Same logic/interpretation as this will be applied.

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Active in these topics

EthereumETH$1,641.89-0.43%BitcoinBTC$62,792.81+1.12%SolanaSOL$65.08+0.06%XRPXRP$1.11-1.30%BNBBNB$598.89+1.00%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+0.36%

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Rules

Data is currently at https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.csv

Manifold Markets
  • https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
  • (or such updated location for this Gistemp v4 LOTI data)
  • January 2024 might show as 124 in hundredths of a degree C, this is +1.24C above the 1951-1980 base period.
  • If it shows as 1.22 then it is in degrees i.e. 1.22C.
  • Same logic/interpretation as this will be applied.