Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (49.5%)
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, 1:06 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 50.5%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleAug 14, 26, 5:31 PMAug 16, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes50.5%
No49.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Rules
! Block #DailyCoinflip to stop seeing these !
- Current totals: 278 heads vs 258 tails
- Longest streaks: 10 heads (days 12-22); 9 tails (days 479-488)
- Yesterday’s flip: Tails
- @FairlyRandom will be used to generate the outcome
- Resolution can be expected within 24 hours after closing
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above+39.0pt99%
- $70,000 or above+19.0pt99%
- $70,500 or above+28.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 240-259+33.6pt70.3%
- 260-279+4.5pt28.7%
- 280-299-12.7pt1%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.9pt11.4%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.5%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.3pt10.5%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+7.2pt19%
- 300-319+2.6pt17%
- 260-279+5.0pt14%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,130 or above+5.0pt99%
- $1,970 or above99%
- $2,090 or above+4.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $543.8K
POLYMARKETWhich company has best AI model end of August?
- Anthropic-0.2pt98%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- BTC price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- ETH price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Daily Coinflip?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 51% as of August 17, 2026.
- When does Daily Coinflip resolve?
- Daily Coinflip is scheduled to resolve on August 16, 2026.
- How is Daily Coinflip settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: ! Block #DailyCoinflip to stop seeing these !