Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (50.5%)
Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 7:44 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes50.5%
No49.5%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
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- Current totals: 285 heads vs 273 tails
- Longest streaks: 10 heads (days 12-22); 9 tails (days 479-488)
- Yesterday’s flip: Heads
- @FairlyRandom will be used to generate the outcome
- Resolution can be expected within 24 hours after closing
