What are the current odds for BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050??

Manifold Markets prices No at 53.1% as of October 9, 2026.

When does BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050? resolve?

BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2049.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 53.1%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 22 hours ago

Stale

Jul 2, 26, 7:29 PM UTCDec 31, 49, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Will there exist a population of individuals with BCI and Ai capabilities that act as a hivemind before 2050?

Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2049, at 11:59 PM UTC, there is credible, public verification of a group of 4 or more humans who use brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) and artificial intelligence (AI) to function as a "hivemind" or collective intelligence network.
To resolve YES, the following conditions must be met:
BCI & AI Integration: Group members must utilize functional, active brain-computer interfaces (invasive or non-invasive) that are integrated with AI systems.
Direct Cognitive Synchrony: The system must allow direct brain-to-brain or brain-to-AI-to-brain communication, facilitating the pooling of thoughts, sensory data, motor outputs, or decisions without relying on traditional manual or verbal communication (e.g., speaking, typing, or standard screens).