Current implied probability
Yes 92.1%
Yes 92.1%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$411.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 12:16 AM UTCOct 14, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Rules
As of market creation, BlackRock is estimated to release earnings on October 9, 2026.
- The Street consensus estimate for BlackRock’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $14.42 as of market creation.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if BlackRock reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $14.42 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
- If BlackRock releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 93%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference 93% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
