Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.6%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMar 25, 26, 7:51 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be a zensho-yusho (15-0) in Makuuchi in 2026? [sumo basho]
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if he wins the Emperor's Cup (yusho) at any Grand Sumo tournament in 2026.
- The market resolves NO if he does not win a championship by the end of 2026.
- Six tournaments take place every year: January (Tokyo), March (Osaka), May (Tokyo), July (Nagoya), September (Tokyo), and November (Fukuoka).
- Results can be verified at the official Japan Sumo Association website.
Open markets
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- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
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- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
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- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
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- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Atamifuji to win a Basho in 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Atamifuji to win a Basho in 2026 resolve?
- Atamifuji to win a Basho in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Atamifuji to win a Basho in 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria