Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Apple (99.6%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 4:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Apple
- Recorded
- Jul 25, 2026, 5:51 AM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current community forecastApple 99.6%+4.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
34
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleJun 1, 26, 7:24 PMJul 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
NVIDIA0%
Apple99.6%
Alphabet (Google)0.1%
Microsoft0%
Amazon0%
Meta0%
Tesla0.1%
Other0.5%
0%
99.6%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Apple
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall70% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $3.3K | $0 | 26 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 26 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
3rd largest company end of June?
8.9 ptsClosed
Resolved
Apple (100%)
+8.9pt100%
-0.4pt0%
0%
+26 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$153.1K
24h Vol$3.3K
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to the third largest company in the world by market cap at the end of June 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
- @5PQQUZ5yzQ (this market)
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to the third largest company in the world by market cap at the end of June 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com
- @5PQQUZ5yzQ (this market)