PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Apple (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Apple 100%+8.9ptLeader of 29 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+67.0 pts
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleMay 16, 26, 12:17 AMJun 30, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Alphabet0%
Apple94%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Apple
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $3.3K | $0 | 26 days ago | |
 Manifold Markets70% match · verified | — | 100% | — | — | — | 27 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
3rd largest company end of June 2026?
Closed
Resolved
Apple (99.6%)
+4.0pt99.6%
-3.4pt0.1%
0.1%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast34 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.