Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 84.2%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 29, 25, 2:16 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Will resolve to YES if Elton John is alive through 2026.
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/ZHwVBirqD2s)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2026: Will Elton John still be standing??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 84.2% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does 2026: Will Elton John still be standing? resolve?
- 2026: Will Elton John still be standing? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is 2026: Will Elton John still be standing? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will resolve to YES if Elton John is alive through 2026.