Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 10:01 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 11:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
Won
Lost
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if the unweighted average of the "Pro-Woke" responses to the following 5 recurring polling questions in 2026 is at least 2.0 percentage points higher than the 2025 Composite Baseline (52.6%).
- If the 2026 average is < 54.6%, the market resolves NO.
- The "Woke Vibe" Index Criteria
- The index is composed of 5 specific metrics from Gallup and PRRI.
- Each metric measures a different facet of "woke" culture (Gender, Race, Corporate/Economic Values).
- The Trans Acceptance Rebound