Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 29, 2026, 10:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 50.2%
No 50.2%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 3:23 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 2:03 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Petra Marcinko and Magdalena Frech in the WTA China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Petra Marcinko' if Petra Marcinko advances against Magdalena Frech.
- This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Frech' if Magdalena Frech advances against Petra Marcinko.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech · Marcinko vs. Frech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over 51%