Current implied probability
Yes 61.5%
Yes 61.5%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$30.8
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Novak Djokovic vs. Alex De Minaur
FutuurNovak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur: Set 1 Winner
KalshiNovak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur: Set 2 Winner
KalshiChina Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur
PolymarketNovak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur: Game Spread
KalshiNovak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur: Exact Match Score
KalshiRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Alex de Minaur in the ATP China Open, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 11:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Alex de Minaur.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Novak Djokovic.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 64%. The venue spread is about 3 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 64% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread