Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 56.5%
Yes 56.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 4, 26, 11:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 7:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka in the WTA China Open, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 03:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Naomi Osaka.
- This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Karolina Muchova.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka · Muchova vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 76%
- Also available on Futuur — Karolina Muchova vs. Naomi Osaka · Yes 55%
