Current implied probability
No 96.5%
No 96.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 5:03 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Gao Xinyu and Iga Swiatek in the WTA China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Gao Xinyu' if Gao Xinyu advances against Iga Swiatek.
- This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Gao Xinyu.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 4%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 4% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Xinyu Gao vs. Iga Swiatek · No 95%
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek · Set Handicap: Iga Swiatek (-1.5) vs Xinyu Gao (+1.5) — Iga Swiatek 89%
