Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 4, 2026, 12:01 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 71%
Yes 71%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 3, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 8:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo: Game Spread
KalshiDaniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo: Exact Match Score
KalshiDaniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo: Set 1 Winner
KalshiDaniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo: Set 2 Winner
KalshiChina Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo
PolymarketZverev vs Djokovic
KalshiRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo in the ATP China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 08:30 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Francisco Cerundolo.
- This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Daniil Medvedev.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo · Medvedev vs. Cerundolo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 75%
- Also available on Futuur — Daniil Medvedev vs. Francisco Cerundolo · Yes 69%