Current implied probability
Yes 57.5%
Yes 57.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 1, 26, 1:00 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 5:03 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Roman Safiullin in the ATP China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 01:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Roman Safiullin.
- This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Andrey Rublev.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 57%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 57% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Andrey Rublev vs. Roman Safiullin · Yes 57%
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin · Rublev vs. Safiullin: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 87%
