Current implied probability
Yes 91.5%
Yes 91.5%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 1, 26, 10:46 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 11:03 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang: Exact Match Score
KalshiAlexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang: Set 2 Winner
KalshiAlexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang: Set 1 Winner
KalshiAlexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang: Total Games
KalshiLaver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur
PolymarketOver/Under: How many majors will Alexander Zverev win in his career?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Shang Juncheng in the ATP China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 01:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Shang Juncheng.
- This market will resolve to 'Shang Juncheng' if Shang Juncheng advances against Alexander Zverev.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 90%. The venue spread is about 4 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 90% · 2 venues · 4 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang · Set 2 Winner: Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang — Alexander Zverev 96%
- Also available on Futuur — Alexander Zverev vs. Juncheng Shang · Yes 88%