Current implied probability
Yes 72.2%
Yes 72.2%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 8:00 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 3:03 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Quentin Halys in the ATP China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 01:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Quentin Halys.
- This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Alex de Minaur.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 71%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference 71% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Futuur — Alex De Minaur vs. Quentin Halys · Yes 71%
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Quentin Halys · Minaur vs. Halys: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 81%
