Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 3, 2026, 11:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 52.5%
Yes 52.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 6:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev: Exact Match Score
KalshiAlex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev: Set 1 Winner
KalshiAlex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev: Set 2 Winner
KalshiAlex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev: Total Games
KalshiChina Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev
PolymarketWill Rublev enter the top 10 in the ATP rankings in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Andrey Rublev in the ATP China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 06:30 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Andrey Rublev.
- This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Alex de Minaur.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev · Minaur vs. Rublev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 82%
- Also available on Futuur — Alex De Minaur vs. Andrey Rublev · Yes 53%