KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 14M (99%)
Resolved: Sep 3, 2026, 10:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 29, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 16.25M2%
Above 15.25M99%
Above 15.75M98%
Above 16M99%
Above 16.75M34%
Above 14M99%
Above 14.25M99%
Above 14.5M99%
Above 14.75M99%
Above 15M99%
Above 15.5M99%
Above 16.5M2%
Above 17M3%
Above 14MWon
Above 14.25MLost
Above 14.5MLost
Above 14.75MLost
Above 15MLost
Above 15.25MLost
Above 15.5MLost
Above 16MLost
Above 15.75MLost
Above 16.75MLost
Above 17MLost
Above 16.25MLost
Above 16.5MLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Justin Bieber has the named outcome Global daily views on YouTube at any point during September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:YouTube Charts
- This market is based on Justin Bieber's single-day global view count displayed on YouTube Charts during at any point during September 2026.
- The market resolves Yes if any daily value in at any point during September 2026 is the named outcome views.
- Global daily views can be accessed through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by YouTube.
- Any references to YouTube charts or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi.