KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 22M (99%)
Resolved: Sep 3, 2026, 10:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 28, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 33M2%
Above 34M1%
Above 28M99%
Above 28.5M99%
Above 29M99%
Above 32M37%
Above 32.5M13%
Above 30M14%
Above 31.5M6%
Above 33.5M2%
Above 24.5M99%
Above 25.5M99%
Above 26M99%
Above 27.5M99%
Above 27M99%
Above 29.5M65%
Above 22MWon
Above 22.5MLost
Above 23MLost
Above 23.5MLost
Above 24MLost
Above 24.5MLost
Above 25MLost
Above 25.5MLost
Above 26MLost
Above 26.5MLost
Above 27MLost
Above 27.5MLost
Above 28MLost
Above 28.5MLost
Above 29MLost
Above 29.5MLost
Above 31MLost
Above 32MLost
Above 30MLost
Above 30.5MLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWill Bad Bunny survive 2026
Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Bad Bunny has the named outcome Global daily views on YouTube at any point during September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:YouTube Charts
- This market is based on Bad Bunny's single-day global view count displayed on YouTube Charts during at any point during September 2026.
- The market resolves Yes if any daily value in at any point during September 2026 is the named outcome views.
- Global daily views can be accessed through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by YouTube.
- Any references to YouTube charts or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi.