KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 13M (99%)
Resolved: Sep 3, 2026, 10:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 2:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 18.5M1%
Above 13M99%
Above 13.5M99%
Above 14M99%
Above 14.5M98%
Above 15M99%
Above 15.5M99%
Above 17M1%
Above 17.5M1%
Above 16.5M1%
Above 19M1%
Above 18M1%
Above 19.5M1%
Above 20M1%
Above 16M2%
Above 13MWon
Above 13.5MLost
Above 14MLost
Above 15MLost
Above 15.5MLost
Above 14.5MLost
Above 16MLost
Above 16.5MLost
Above 17MLost
Above 17.5MLost
Above 18MLost
Above 18.5MLost
Above 19MLost
Above 19.5MLost
Above 20MLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Ariana Grande has the named outcome Global daily views on YouTube at any point during September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:YouTube Charts
- This market is based on Ariana Grande's single-day global view count displayed on YouTube Charts during at any point during September 2026.
- The market resolves Yes if any daily value in at any point during September 2026 is the named outcome views.
- Global daily views can be accessed through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by YouTube.
- Any references to YouTube charts or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi.