KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 85.51 or above (98%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 4:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
88.01 or above15%
93.01 or above20%
93.51 or above2%
89.01 or above20%
89.51 or above2%
91.01 or above3%
91.51 or above1%
90.01 or above12%
88.51 or above3%
94.01 or above5%
87.51 or above18%
85.51 or aboveWon
86.01 or aboveLost
86.51 or aboveLost
87.01 or aboveLost
88.51 or aboveLost
90.01 or aboveLost
91.01 or aboveLost
92.01 or aboveLost
87.51 or aboveLost
93.01 or aboveLost
89.01 or aboveLost
94.01 or aboveLost
89.51 or aboveLost
94.51 or aboveLost
92.51 or aboveLost
93.51 or aboveLost
88.01 or aboveLost
95.01 or aboveLost
90.51 or aboveLost
91.51 or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $85.50 between Issuance and Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ICE
- If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $86.00 between Issuance and Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $86.50 between Issuance and Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $87.00 between Issuance and Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $87.50 between Issuance and Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $88.00 between Issuance and Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.