KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityBefore Jan 1, 2027 53%+2.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 53.0%
Spread
1.9%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 12:35 AMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Jan 1, 202753%
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If Steve Witkoff has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Russia before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
- For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
- For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
- For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
- International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.