KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityKylian Mbappe 58%+31.0%Leader of 58 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$49K
Liquidity
$137.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
55.0% / 57.0%
Spread
3.6%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
May 12, 26, 10:00 PMJul 31, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kylian Mbappe58%
Compare venues· Rodri
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | High | 33% | +3pt | $49K | $137.5K | 10 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket88% match · verified | High | 30% | 0pt | $24K | $130.1K | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
World Cup: Silver Ball Winner
16.9%3d
+16.9%57%
50%
50%
+38 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$83.8K
24h Vol$24K
POLYMARKETRules
If Harry Kane wins the Silver Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Silver Ball is awarded to the player recognized by FIFA as the second-best overall player of the tournament.
- If multiple participants are announced as co-winners, then Tie/Co-Winners resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Lamine Yamal wins the Silver Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$6.2k99.0%KALSHIErling Haaland — No23h ago
KALSHIErling Haaland — No23h agoVolume trend
$49.0kJul 215d of dataJul 16
Related Markets
Golden Ball Winner
$974.1KLionel Messi: 90%KALSHI
KALSHIBest Young Player Award Winner
$136KLamine Yamal: 69%KALSHI
KALSHIGolden Glove Winner
$132KUnai Simon: 85%KALSHI
KALSHI
World Cup Winner
$4.3MSpain: 58%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
France vs. England - Exact Score
$2.1MAny Other Score: 14%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETFrance vs. England - More Markets
$1.9MO/U 0.5: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
OpenAI quietly adds Kalshi World Cup odds to ChatGPT: ReportCointelegraph
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindesk
Polymarket Golden Ball odds stay flat at 50% after Bellingham spotlightBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds put Mbappé at 32.5% to win 2026 Ballon d'Or after +5.45ppBlockchain.News
Polymarket Golden Ball odds hold at 50% as Golden Boot race heats upBlockchain.NewsRules
If Harry Kane wins the Silver Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Silver Ball is awarded to the player recognized by FIFA as the second-best overall player of the tournament.
- If multiple participants are announced as co-winners, then Tie/Co-Winners resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Lamine Yamal wins the Silver Ball in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.