PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityKylian Mbappé 56%+3.5%Leader of 41 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$24.4K
Liquidity
$93.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
55.2% / 56.9%
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spread7d Change
+23.9%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 8:20 PMJul 20, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kylian Mbappé56%
Compare venues· Rodri
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · verified | High | 33% | +3pt | $49K | $135.5K | 37 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | High | 30% | 0pt | $24.4K | $93.5K | 7 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Silver Ball Winner
29.0%14d
+29.0%56%
+17.0%33%
15%
+55 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$177.4K
24h Vol$49K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules.
- If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$6.2k99.0%KALSHIErling Haaland — No22h ago
KALSHIErling Haaland — No22h agoVolume trend
$24.4kJul 215d of dataJul 16
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This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules.
- If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
- If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.