KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Pau Cubarsi (19%)
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 10:43 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Pau Cubarsi
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
29%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Pau Cubarsi
- Recorded
- Jul 19, 2026, 10:49 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityLamine Yamal 68.6%+2.0ptLeader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$446.3K
Liquidity
$1.1M
High liquidityBid / Ask
79.0% / 82.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 days ago
StaleMay 14, 26, 12:00 AMJul 31, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Gilberto Mora3%
Pau Cubarsi19%
Alex Freeman1%
Luka Vuskovic1%
Lamine Yamal81%
68.6%
16.1%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Lamine Yamal
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 81% | — | $446.3K | $1.1M | 8 days ago | |
 Polymarket88% match · verified | Low | 0% | — | $62.9K | $0 | 7 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
World Cup: Young Player Award Winner
76.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
Pau Cubarsí (100%)
+75.0pt100%
-76.5pt0%
0%
+38 more outcomes
30 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$410.6K
24h Vol$62.9K
POLYMARKETRules
If Lamine Yamal wins the Best Young Player Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If multiple participants are announced as co-winners, then Tie/Co-Winners resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Warren Zaire-Emery wins the Best Young Player Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Endrick wins the Best Young Player Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.4k27.0%KALSHILamine Yamal — No12d ago
KALSHILamine Yamal — No12d ago$1.4k68.0%KALSHILamine Yamal — Yes13d ago
KALSHILamine Yamal — Yes13d ago$1.3k44.0%KALSHILamine Yamal — Yes17d ago
KALSHILamine Yamal — Yes17d ago$1.7k99.0%KALSHIWarren Zaire-Emery — No20d ago
KALSHIWarren Zaire-Emery — No20d ago$4.8k45.0%KALSHILamine Yamal — Yes20d ago
KALSHILamine Yamal — Yes20d agoVolume trend
$446.3kJul 218d of dataJul 19
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If Lamine Yamal wins the Best Young Player Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If multiple participants are announced as co-winners, then Tie/Co-Winners resolves to Yes and all other markets resolve to No.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Warren Zaire-Emery wins the Best Young Player Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Endrick wins the Best Young Player Award in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.