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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent
KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent

KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent

PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: 45% - 48% (59%)

Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM

Winning Outcome

45% - 48%

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Below 39%
Below 39% 1%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$1.5K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale
May 18, 26, 4:00 PMMay 19, 27, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Below 39%1%
39% - 42%1%
51% - 54%1%
54% - 57%1%
57% - 60%1%
48% - 51%1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 7Jun 7Jun 7
Outcome24hChance
Below 39%
Below 39%
1%
39% - 42%
39% - 42%
1%
42% - 45%
42% - 45%
2%
45% - 48%
45% - 48%
59%
48% - 51%
48% - 51%
1%
51% - 54%
51% - 54%
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 0% to 38.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
  • Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
  • Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
  • Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
  • If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$63,907.50+0.14%EthereumETH$1,677.36+0.13%SolanaSOL$67.81+1.19%DogecoinDOGE$0.0878+1.09%XRPXRP$1.15+0.48%BNBBNB$606.15-0.24%

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Rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 0% to 38.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
  • Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
  • Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
  • Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
  • If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.