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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Los Angeles mayoral election: Karen Bass vote percent (1st round)
Los Angeles mayoral election: Karen Bass vote percent (1st round)

Los Angeles mayoral election: Karen Bass vote percent (1st round)

One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics11mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
30% - 35%
30% - 35% 97%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$59

Liquidity

$677.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

97.0% / 98.0%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 10 minutes ago

May 20, 26, 2:00 PMJun 2, 27, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

30% - 35%97%

Rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Bass in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 0% to 14.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
  • Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
  • Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
  • Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
  • If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Bass in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election is 0% to 14.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
  • Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
  • Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
  • Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
  • If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.