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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?

27.0% (24h)One-OffUS Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Yes (95%)

Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, 2:49 PM

Winning Outcome

Yes

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

85%

Consensus
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 95%+27.0%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$673.1

Liquidity

$649.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 7 days ago

Stale
May 29, 26, 3:10 PMJun 5, 26, 3:59 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes95%
No5%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 4Jun 5Jun 5
Outcome24hChance
Yes
Yes
+27.0%
95%
No
No
5%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the VoteHub time-adjusted average for Donald Trump's approval rating is above 39.3% for Jun 4, 2026 (as checked at Jun 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the VoteHub time-adjusted average displayed at the first 10:00 AM ET after the poll date when data is available.
  • The value must match exactly as displayed on VoteHub's platform, including subject name formatting.
  • Values are compared using one decimal place precision.
  • If VoteHub doesn't display data for the specified date, the most recent prior time-adjusted average is used.
  • Only the time-adjusted average counts, not raw polling averages.

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Rules

If the VoteHub time-adjusted average for Donald Trump's approval rating is above 39.3% for Jun 4, 2026 (as checked at Jun 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET), then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the VoteHub time-adjusted average displayed at the first 10:00 AM ET after the poll date when data is available.
  • The value must match exactly as displayed on VoteHub's platform, including subject name formatting.
  • Values are compared using one decimal place precision.
  • If VoteHub doesn't display data for the specified date, the most recent prior time-adjusted average is used.
  • Only the time-adjusted average counts, not raw polling averages.