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Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Google · —
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Stored price
Google 50%Leader of 10 outcomes
Google 50%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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GoogleSpread
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Market data
Updated 33 minutes ago
Oct 30, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Google
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Rules
If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Artificial Analysis - Video Arena
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ByteDance
- If ByteDance is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alibaba
- If Alibaba is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MiniMax
- If MiniMax is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- KlingAI
- If KlingAI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Skywork AI
- If Skywork AI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vidu
- If Vidu is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SpaceXAI
- If SpaceXAI is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lightricks
- If Lightricks is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- PixVerse
- If PixVerse is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Nov 6, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
