KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Aaron Pico to win in Round 1 (19%)
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 6:36 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Aaron Pico to win in Round 1
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 6:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Losene Keita to win in Round 116%
Aaron Pico to win in Round 119%
Losene Keita to win in Round 211%
Aaron Pico to win in Round 214%
Aaron Pico to win in Round 37%
Losene Keita to win in Round 37%
Decision / Draw / No Contest33%
Lost
Won
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Lost
Rules
If Aaron Pico wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For settlement purposes, a technical decision is considered a decision and will result in the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” outcome resolving to Yes, and will not count as a win in any round. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- If either competitor wins by decision or the result is Draw/No Contest in the full fight of the Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Aaron Pico to win in Round 1
- If Aaron Pico wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Losene Keita to win in Round 1
- If Losene Keita wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 1 of the Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Aaron Pico to win in Round 2
- If Aaron Pico wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Losene Keita to win in Round 2
- If Losene Keita wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 2 of the Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Aaron Pico to win in Round 3
- If Aaron Pico wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Losene Keita to win in Round 3
- If Losene Keita wins by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification in Round 3 of the Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita 333 fight originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
