Current implied probability
Above 5.5% 2%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$16
Liquidity
$3.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 13.0%
Spread
550.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 7:15 PMJul 15, 26, 1:55 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 5.5%2%
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$3.6K4.6-4.9%: 63%
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POLYMARKET
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSCanada unemployment below 6.5% before 2027?
$0Yes: 41%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
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If the China unemployment rate is above 4.8% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the China unemployment rate is above 4.9% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the China unemployment rate is above 5.0% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the China unemployment rate is above 5.1% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the China unemployment rate is above 5.2% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the China unemployment rate is above 5.3% for June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.