KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 81,500 MW 99%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$65.3K
Liquidity
$52.5K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 11:45 AMSep 4, 26, 4:55 AM
Trends
Rules
If the the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 3, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
- The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 3, 2026 operating day.
- Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour.
- Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
- Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 3.90099%
- Above 4.00099%
- Above 4.100+17.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $457.9K
- 24h Vol
- $265.8K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.140099%
- Above 4.130099%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $204.5K
- 24h Vol
- $198.4K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt52%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+7.0pt50%
- Before Jul 1, 202735%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.5M
POLYMARKETCrude Oil all time high by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt11%
- September 30-0.3pt1%
- May 31-0.4pt0%
+1 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his GB News interview?
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
- King99%
- Hottest99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $58.9K
- 24h Vol
- $58.9K
- Gas prices in the US in Sep 2026?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026?
- Natural gas price on September 04, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Washington gas prices tomorrow
- Georgia gas prices tomorrow
- What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of August 31 2026?
- What will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
- California gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 3, 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 81,500 MW at 99% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 3, 2026 resolve?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 3, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 3, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 3, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.