KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability3-4 AM 99%+78.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$25.6K
Liquidity
$24.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 11, 26, 2:00 PMJul 18, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
3-4 AM99%
Volume trend
$25.6kJul 113d of dataJul 13
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If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 1:00 AM to 1:59 AM ET on any day from Jul 12, 2026 through Jul 18, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Each hour interval is inclusive: "1:00 AM to 1:59 AM" means 1:00:00 AM through 1:59:59 AM.
- Deleted posts qualify for the purposes of this market.
- If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 2:00 AM to 2:59 AM ET on any day from Jul 12, 2026 through Jul 18, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 3:00 AM to 3:59 AM ET on any day from Jul 12, 2026 through Jul 18, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 4:00 AM to 4:59 AM ET on any day from Jul 12, 2026 through Jul 18, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.