What will Trump say this month?

1.0% (24h)25d

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Market quality 56 • Medium qualityThin market

Alerts

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Decision support

Current implied probability

Newscum 94%

Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality

Bid / Ask

95.0% / 96.0%

Market data

Updated 26 minutes ago

Last updated: Apr 5, 6:09 PM

Resolves

May 1, 2026, 2:00 PM

24h Volume

$78.8

Liquidity

$599.7

Spread

1.1%

Tight spread

7d Change

Low liquidityThin marketNear resolution

Started Apr 1, 2026, 4:00 AMEnds May 1, 2026, 2:00 PM

Trends

No chart data available.

Outcome24hChance

Newscum

-1.0%94%

Turning Point

0.0%99%

Dead Country

-1.0%84%

Stimulus

-1.0%22%

DEI / Woke

0.0%99%

Who are you with / Where are you from

-1.0%89%

Epstein Island

+3.0%20%

Epstein

-3.0%66%

Third Term

-5.0%46%

Gulf of America

+11.0%72%

UFO / UAP

0.0%44%

Moscow

+14.0%53%

Crypto / Bitcoin

-1.0%66%

Discombobulator

0.0%19%

Make Iran Great Again

+7.0%67%

Greenland

-6.0%61%

Fat shot / Ozempic

+2.0%60%

Nine War / Ninth War

+1.0%38%

Goat

0.0%29%

Pelosi

+1.0%79%

UFC

+9.0%78%

Barack Hussein Obama

0.0%99%

Predict / Prediction

0.0%99%

Autism

0.0%99%

Genius

0.0%99%

Rules

If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump before May 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.
If Dead Country, or a plural or possessive form of Dead Country, is stated by Donald Trump before May 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Discombobulator, or a plural or possessive form of Discombobulator, is stated by Donald Trump before May 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Barack Hussein Obama, or a plural or possessive form of Barack Hussein Obama, is stated by Donald Trump before May 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Nine War / Ninth War, or a plural or possessive form of Nine War / Ninth War, is stated by Donald Trump before May 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

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