What will Trump say this month?

20.0% (24h)Ended

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Market quality 27 • Low qualityThin market

This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Alerts

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Decision support

Current implied probability

Third Term 33%

Market quality

27 / 100

Low quality

Bid / Ask

29.0% / 33.0%

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Stale

Last updated: Apr 1, 1:38 PM

Resolves

Apr 1, 2026, 2:00 PM

24h Volume

$1.4K

Liquidity

$6K

Spread

13.8%

Wide spread

7d Change

Low liquidityThin market

Started Mar 1, 2026, 1:30 PMEnds Apr 1, 2026, 2:00 PM

Trends

No chart data available.

Outcome24hChance

Third Term

+20.0%33%

Turning Point

-2.0%1%

Stimulus

-1.0%1%

Moscow

-8.0%1%

Epstein Island

-1.0%1%

Discombobulator

0.0%1%

UFO / UAP

-2.0%1%

Nine War

0.0%1%

Fat shot / Ozempic

-3.0%1%

Gulf of America

0.0%99%

Greenland

0.0%99%

Transgender

0.0%99%

Barack Hussein Obama

0.0%99%

Newscum

0.0%99%

Predict / Prediction

0.0%99%

Autism

0.0%99%

Pelosi

0.0%99%

Genius

0.0%99%

DEI / Woke

0.0%99%

Crypto / Bitcoin

0.0%99%

Epstein

0.0%99%

Make Iran Great Again

0.0%99%

UFC

0.0%96%

Windmill

0.0%99%

TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome

0.0%99%

Rules

If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump before Apr 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.
If Transgender, or a plural or possessive form of Transgender, is stated by Donald Trump before Apr 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Discombobulator, or a plural or possessive form of Discombobulator, is stated by Donald Trump before Apr 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Barack Hussein Obama, or a plural or possessive form of Barack Hussein Obama, is stated by Donald Trump before Apr 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Nine War, or a plural or possessive form of Nine War, is stated by Donald Trump before Apr 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

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