KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement (99%)
Resolved: Sep 18, 2026, 12:09 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 18, 2026, 11:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Event does not qualify91%
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement99%
Second Amendment11%
Navy2%
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin1%
Military5%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Democrat6%
America First99%
Radical Left7%
Biden13%
Iran / Iranian1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Peace Through Strength1%
Veteran1%
Midterm1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Communist / Communism1%
Save America Act3%
Transgender1%
China / Chinese1%
MAGA / Make America Great Again1%
Tariff1%
Stock Market1%
Hottest1%
Fraud1%
Shipbuilding / Shipbuilder1%
Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementWon
Second AmendmentLost
NavyLost
MilitaryLost
DemocratLost
America FirstLost
Radical LeftLost
BidenLost
Save America ActLost
Event does not qualifyLost
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / BitcoinLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
Iran / IranianLost
Oil / Gas / GasolineLost
Peace Through StrengthLost
VeteranLost
MidtermLost
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityLost
Communist / CommunismLost
TransgenderLost
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Donald Trump says the named outcome as part of tele-rally with Rob Wittman originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:855-274-0644
- How this is resolved Video of the tele-rally with Rob Wittman originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the tele-rally with Rob Wittman originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.