KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Fraud (99%)
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, 1:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Fraud
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
0%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 25, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
America First0%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Biden0%
Fraud19%
Transgender52%
Crypto / Bitcoin1%
Save America Act0%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability17%
Stock Market70%
Ceasefire1%
Radical Left41%
MAGA / Make America Great Again60%
Iran / Iranian20%
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement95%
Fake News0%
Tariff0%
Communist / Communism24%
Ukraine0%
Hottest0%
China / Chinese21%
Democrat85%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline26%
Landslide15%
Event does not qualify3%
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating24%
FraudWon
Save America ActLost
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityLost
Stock MarketLost
Radical LeftLost
MAGA / Make America Great AgainLost
Iran / IranianLost
Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementLost
Communist / CommunismLost
China / ChineseLost
DemocratLost
Oil / Gas / GasolineLost
America FirstLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
BidenLost
TransgenderLost
Crypto / BitcoinLost
CeasefireLost
Fake NewsLost
TariffLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:833-380-0417
- How this is resolved Video of the Tele-Rally with Darline Graham using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Tele-Rally with Darline Graham will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.