KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Ragtime (99%)
Resolved: Jun 8, 2026, 2:32 PM
Winning Outcome
Ragtime
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityRagtime 99%+42.0%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$514.6
Liquidity
$828.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleMay 6, 26, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Ragtime58%
Cats: The Jellicle Ball41%
Richard O'Brien's The Rocky Horror Show1%
Tie2%
99%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Related Markets
James Beard Award for Best New Restaurant?
$0.7Agnes and Sherman: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
2026 Game of the Year?
$136.4Half-Life 3: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office
$113.9K43-47m: 65%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
$75.9KSpider-Man: Brand New Day: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
$21.5KYes: 32.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHighest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?
$20.4KObsession: 90%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
If Cats: The Jellicle Ball has won Best Revival of a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The 79th Tony Awards are expected to be held on June 7th, 2026.
- If Ragtime has won Best Revival of a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Richard O'Brien's The Rocky Horror Show has won Best Revival of a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tie has won Best Revival of a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.