KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Schmigadoon! (99%)
Resolved: Jun 8, 2026, 2:28 PM
Winning Outcome
Schmigadoon!
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
60%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilitySchmigadoon! 99%+34.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$918.3
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleMay 6, 26, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
The Lost Boys30%
Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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Rules
If The Lost Boys has won Best Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The 79th Tony Awards are expected to be held on June 7th, 2026.
- If Schmigadoon! has won Best Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Titaníque has won Best Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York) has won Best Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tie has won Best Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.