KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 2:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
62° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
62° or above 99%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Open interest
$2K
Low open interestSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 12, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 12, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
62° or above99%
61° or above99%
63° or above94%
64° or above15%
55° or above0%
56° or above0%
57° or above0%
58° or above0%
59° or above0%
60° or above0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 12, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Oct 12, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Oct 13, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Oct 13, 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 69 F on October 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 70 F on October 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 62° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 12, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 61.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 61° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 12, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 60.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 63° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 12, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 62.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 64° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 12, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 63.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 55° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 12, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 54.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 56° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 12, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 55.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 57° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 12, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 56.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 58° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 12, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 57.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 59° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 12, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 58.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 60° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Oct 12, 2026 at 11 AM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 59.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
