KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 3:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
65° or above 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
65° or above 99%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Open interest
$2.8K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 4, 26, 3:00 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
65° or above99%
62° or above98%
67° or above95%
68° or above91%
66° or above90%
69° or above7%
60° or above0%
61° or above0%
63° or above0%
64° or above0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in New York City on Nov 4, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Nov 4, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Nov 5, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Nov 5, 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 70 F on November 4, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in New York City (NYC)(LGA)(KLGA) exceed 71 F on November 4, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Synoptic Data
- The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- 65° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 64.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 62° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 61.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 67° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 66.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 68° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 66° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 65.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 69° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 60° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 59.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 61° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 60.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 63° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 62.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 64° or above
- If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 4, 2026 at 11 AM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 63.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.